Controlling the Wuhan Corona Virus Narrative is Not The Same as Controlling the Virus Itself.

Created on: 11th February 2020

“There is nothing to worry about here, no, there is nothing to fear or to dread, for the Number of people this Virus can kill means nothing, unless you are the one that is dead.”

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics

Now remember the narrative has been that this beasty kills less than your average winter flu virus. Yet, when did millions of people get quarantined for flu virus? When did whole mega-cities get closed down for a flu virus? When did a flu virus give the British Government power to detain and quarantine ANYONE they are suspicious of being infected?  No, the narrative of “there is nothing to see here really.” Most certainly does not match the Government action. 

The Beginnings of a World-Wide Pandemic

Who can believe a Scientist anyway, when we now live in a world where the entire scientific community and media complex now pretends that men can get pregnant and women can be sperm donors?  Even so, as was repeated by a Virologist on Radio Four last night, and this is most probably nearer the truth, the genie is out of the bottle, this thing cannot be contained, and all we can do is try and minimize the damage of what is now “the beginning of a world-wide pandemic.” 

Manipulating The Data

Late last week, the Chinese National Health Commission quietly changed its definition of Coronavirus ‘confirmed case’ in the latest guideline dated 7/2.  As a result, going forward patients who tested positive for the virus but have no symptoms will no longer be regarded as confirmed. This is called manipulating the figures.

Yes, it is clear that the narrative about the coronavirus is being carefully managed around the world to minimize the impact on world-wide sentiment and markets. Authorities are well aware of the world-wide economy's extreme fragility, and so Job One for authorities everywhere is to scrub the news flow of anything that doesn't support the explicit official narrative which says two major things:

1. The coronavirus is only an issue in China; outside of China it is contained.

2. The coronavirus will soon be contained in China as well, and world-wide business will quickly return to normal.


Economic Fictions

In pushing this narrative, authorities around the world share the same goal: limit the damage to consumer confidence and markets, as the legitimacy of every regime from Beijing to Washington D.C. to Nairobi is based on maintaining what are, in effect, economic fictions and these are that:

1. World-wide growth will continue in an unbroken trend in the decades ahead.

2. This growth benefits everyone, not just elites.

The critical dynamic here is consumer confidence: consumers cannot be allowed to become hesitant or afraid lest they stop borrowing, borrowing, borrowing, buying, buying, buying and speculating, speculating, speculating.

Charles Hugh Smith continues, saying, 

“Authorities outside China have no more interest in accurate death totals being released than Chinese authorities, and so official agencies and the corporate media dutifully parrot the implausibly low Chinese statistics as if they reflected reality.

But controlling the narrative is not the same as controlling the virus. The narrative is intangible but the virus is real-world. Authorities are betting that controlling the narrative about the virus is equivalent to controlling the actual virus. If everyone believes only 800 (or now a few hunderd more) people have died and the number of infected people is plummeting, they will obediently keep borrowing and buying and authorities will retain their legitimacy, power and wealth.

If controlling the narrative fails, elites' legitimacy, power and wealth are at risk.

Thought experiment: cremating human corpses generates a chemical plume with a signature that's measurable from low-orbit sensors. Rather than accept implausibly low Chinese claims about total deaths, why not use low-orbit assets to measure the chemical signatures of plumes above Wuhan and calculate an estimate of the total number of corpses being cremated daily?

Again, no one in authority anywhere on the planet wants the real death totals to become public: managed ignorance is bliss.

One of the key tactics in controlling the narrative is to withhold data. But-- no data doesn't mean no virus. Let's think through the implicit narratives as a series of claims and test the plausibility of each claim.

Narrative #1: the coronavirus has been contained in North America.

Let's break this down into specific claims:

Only 19 people in all of North America have the virus, and authorities found every one of them before they infected a single other person.

Is this even remotely plausible? Tens of thousands of people travelled from China to North America in January, including numerous direct flights from Wuhan, Ground Zero of the pandemic, before authorities limited flights; yet miraculously, only 19 of these thousands of people had contracted the pathogen and even more miraculously, not a single one of these asymptomatic carriers unknowingly infected a single passer-by before being quarantined.

Since U.S. citizens and green-card holders and their families are still allowed to fly from China to the U.S. and travel freely once they pass a simple temperature test for fever, the narrative also claims not a single one of these hundreds of people are asymptomatic carriers, and if any are carriers, they won't infect a single other person while they travel freely around North America.

Are these claims even remotely plausible for a highly contagious virus that spreads easily between humans while carriers show no symptoms?

Let's imagine a slightly more realistic scenario: a Chinese national who unknowingly carries the virus infects dozens of passers-by in taxis, Uber vehicles, subway cars, restaurants, hotels, etc. before coming down with symptoms of the flu. Since the visitor is concerned about what authorities might do to him and his family if it were discovered he has the coronavirus, he monitors his symptoms and concludes that since they're the same as a run-of-the-mill flu, he must not have the coronavirus. He recovers in 10 days, unaware that he had the coronavirus and unknowingly infected dozens of others.

Since roughly 80% of those who contract the coronavirus experience "mild symptoms" much like conventional flu, this is a reasonable assumption.

No data doesn't mean no virus: this individual had the coronavirus and spread it to dozens of other people while asymptomatic, and authorities don't know because he never went to a doctor or hospital and thus was never tested or quarantined.

Narrative #2: the coronavirus will soon be contained in China.

Millions of people left Wuhan prior to the lockdown, and since the lockdown was pre-announced, tens of thousands hurried out before the lockdown took effect. Meanwhile, the lockdown did not include flights leaving Wuhan's airport, so hundreds of flights left for destinations in China and elsewhere in the days between the lockdown announcement and the time when flight restrictions took effect.

Some consequential percentage of these millions were asymptomatic carriers of coronavirus, and since these millions of people dispersed throughout China, they undoubtedly infected passers-by who never went to Wuhan.

Tracking down everyone from Wuhan will not identify everyone unknowingly infected by a traveler from Wuhan.

Screening for fever with thermometers will not identify asymptomatic carriers of coronavirus, so screening is not going to stop the spread of the virus.

Since there appears to be a severe shortage of test kits, the likelihood that every clinic and hospital in rural China has ample test kits to confirm a diagnosis (up to three tests per patient, as follow-up test results can be positive or negative) is near-zero. Thus the likelihood that the healthcare system has an accurate count of carriers with symptoms in rural China is near-zero.

And since asymptomatic carriers have no reason to be tested, and authorities have no reason to test them, the chances that authorities can magically identify every asymptomatic carrier is also near-zero.

No data doesn't mean no virus: is the claim that the coronavirus will soon be controlled in China even remotely plausible for a highly contagious virus that spreads easily between humans while carriers show no symptoms?

Controlling the narrative doesn't mean you're controlling the virus. The gulf between happy-story narratives and the real world is widening to the breaking point.”

I believe Charles is correct……….

Are These The Real Statistics?

Remember, over a week ago, it was suggested that evidence has emerged that appears to indicate China is keeping two sets of numbers when it comes to infections and deaths: A set of real numbers, and then a second set of “official” numbers which are far lower. So, one week ago,  observers have noted that the official numbers reported by the communist Chinese government recently slipped into the “real numbers,” suddenly showing far higher confirmed infections and deaths: 154,024 infections and 24,589 deaths.

Let’s, throw around a few wide ranging kill percentages which  I have seen across the internet shall we? 

The Death Rates of a World-Wide Pandemic

in a  world-wide population of 7,763,615,500‬  (7.7 Billion) 

A 1% DEATH RATE (Latest Gov’t figures) = 77,636,155‬ DEAD - that’s 77 Million Deaths

A 2.1% DEATH RATE = 155, 272, 310 – DEAD – That’s 155 Million Deaths

A 10% DEATH RATE =  776,361,550 – DEAD That’s 770 Million Deaths

A 23% DEATH RATE = 1,785,631,565 – DEAD That’s 1.7 Billion Deaths

Those figures would make me turn mega-cities into quarantine ghost towns, yes, those figures would have me arresting people into forced quarantine, and yes, those figures would have me building hospitals housing thousands of infected in a matter of days. 

Frankly, I am glad we are all OK and everything I contained and the WHO figures are correct. Maybe. 

Whats the answer? Well, stock up on food and keep washing your hands that's for sure.


Staff Writer, Researcher & News Compiler | The Grinch | Published | 2020 February 11 | 06:00 |

Source 01 | Charles Hugh Smith

Source 02 | BBC Spread of Corona Virus

Source 03 | BBC Papers on Corona Virus

Source 04 | Natural News – Chinese Rigged Statistics

Source 05 | Natural News – Failing Test Kits

Source 06 |Taiwan News- Real Chinese Stats

Source 07 | World Population

Source 08 | Bloomberg-Corona Mortality Rates

Source 09 | Daily Express –Underestimated Mortality Rates

Your Comments

posted by John Parsons on 12-02-20

A horseman is seen riding fast across the plain, but it is not the dust plume that first drew the attention or even the strange pale colour of the horse that identifies this lone rider. No, it is the swathe of destruction behind him that identifies this horseman. Several years ago Billy Graham wrote a book called Approaching Hoofbeats. Now Billy has gone and the noise of the hoofbeats is becoming deafening. Perhaps time to read Revelation chapter 6 for ourselves. “Caveat Lector”

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